Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.716479 6.274471 6.888018 7.617370 8.466907 9.432865 10.625410
2024-10-20 4.696087 5.407222 6.248660 7.334458 8.724112 10.480720 12.934318
2024-10-27 4.134082 4.906393 5.864530 7.171236 8.958882 11.404926 15.176801
2024-11-03 3.772786 4.582688 5.625164 7.111413 9.260619 12.411147 17.732834
2024-11-10 3.651767 4.541025 5.729710 7.505606 10.233835 14.559786 22.718835
2024-11-17 3.474382 4.399303 5.672640 7.647633 10.837377 16.249644 27.546147
2024-11-24 3.244660 4.161676 5.451158 7.506878 10.954275 17.120598 31.109290
2024-12-01 3.075894 3.994188 5.312145 7.470666 11.229666 18.330598 35.969457
2024-12-08 2.897014 3.797860 5.111467 7.309026 11.253800 19.049691 40.003101
2024-12-15 2.770044 3.667838 4.999128 7.277439 11.504521 20.291451 46.205524
2024-12-22 2.654581 3.546708 4.889851 7.236903 11.728189 21.529766 53.295800
2024-12-29 2.597094 3.508406 4.906428 7.414052 12.405919 24.022516 67.027087
2025-01-05 2.438461 3.314933 4.674081 7.149299 12.193229 24.399792 73.669772
2025-01-12 2.292638 3.135241 4.455251 6.894277 11.978038 24.766381 81.241397
2025-01-19 2.180628 3.001663 4.302497 6.745374 11.969368 25.714744 93.524077
2025-01-26 2.095720 2.905751 4.205355 6.690722 12.163153 27.341233 113.429855
2025-02-02 2.088044 2.931950 4.316108 7.050526 13.401542 32.880316 182.371346
2025-02-09 2.042778 2.894000 4.312143 7.179960 14.109024 37.090700 270.044386
2025-02-16 1.962042 2.793232 4.190000 7.051686 14.122757 38.681123 338.891530
2025-02-23 1.901041 2.722231 4.116551 7.018668 14.389738 41.525208 475.862730
2025-03-02 1.828197 2.627992 3.995290 6.871200 14.312456 42.834848 608.506046
2025-03-09 1.776342 2.566883 3.931077 6.842366 14.573162 45.977295 940.435837
2025-03-16 1.726693 2.507273 3.866038 6.805355 14.805238 49.208043 1575.607086